BLACK BOOK SAW STABILIZATION OF DEPRECIATION TRENDS TO CLOSE OUT 2016; SPRING SEASON BEGINNING TO SEE ACTION

According to Black Book® data, the average price of a used vehicle for model years 2011-2015 depreciated by -2.4% in December. Cars overall saw depreciation of –2.7% versus trucks, which saw –2.3% depreciation. All vehicles are averaging a 12-month depreciation change of –17.3%.

In December, Compact Vans saw the largest drop in value at –6.1% on the month, the largest single-month drop of any segment over the last twelve months. Vehicles in this category include the Ford Transit Connect, Nissan NV 200, and Ram C/V. Vehicles in this segment finished December with an average segment price of $9,975, a -25.3% change from year-ago levels ($13,355).

Eight segments saw a monthly depreciation of –2.9% or greater, five of which were cars (Sub-Compact Car –3.5; Sporty Car –3.2%; Near Luxury Car –2.9%; Prestige Luxury Car –2.9%) and three were trucks (Compact Van –6.1%; Minivan –3.2%; Midsize Luxury Utilities –2.9%).

Sub-Compact Luxury CUVs saw the strongest retention during December at –0.3%. Vehicles in this segment include the Audi Q3, BMW X1, Infiniti QX30, and the Mini Cooper Countryman. Vehicles in this segment finished December with an average price of $19,133, a -21.4% change from year-ago levels ($24,345).

Seven of the top eight segments with the strongest retention were all trucks (Small Pickups at –0.9%; Full-Size Pickups at –1.4%; Compact Luxury Utilities at –2.0%; Full-Size Luxury Utilities at –2.1%; Full-Size Vans at –2.3%; and Sub-Compact Crossovers at –2.3%). Full-Size Cars saw the strongest retention of all car segments at –1.9%.

"The depreciation rates for all cars and trucks followed seasonal patterns with higher depreciation in Q4," said Anil Goyal, Senior Vice President of Automotive Valuation and Analytics. "That being said, with the spring season around the corner, it will be interesting to see if smaller cars experience higher levels of seasonality lift, especially with the recent bump in gas prices.”

 

Mk/Mod

 

 

1/1/16

12/1/16

 1M Chg

1/1/17

 3M Chg

 12M Chg

Count

Category

Seg

$

$

%

$

%

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SUMMARY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,380

All Vehicles

17,537

14,856

-2.4%

14,495

-7.4%

-17.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TYPES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

710

Car

 

13983

11499

-2.7%

11190

-8.2%

-20.0%

670

Truck

 

21416

18520

-2.3%

18102

-6.9%

-15.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ORIGINS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

144

Domestic Car

12457

10354

-2.5%

10097

-9.0%

-18.9%

297

Domestic Truck

21598

18744

-2.3%

18312

-7.1%

-15.2%

566

Import Car

14875

12169

-2.8%

11829

-7.9%

-20.5%

373

Import Truck

21139

18178

-2.2%

17781

-6.4%

-15.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SEGMENTS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

13

Compact Van

MVC

13355

10622

-6.1%

9975

-11.0%

-25.3%

82

Sub-Compact Car

SBC

8232

6488

-3.5%

6263

-9.2%

-23.9%

32

Minivan

MVW

18916

16140

-3.2%

15621

-8.4%

-17.4%

84

Sporty Car

SPC

16197

13655

-3.2%

13219

-9.5%

-18.4%

131

Near Luxury Car

NLC

20896

16909

-2.9%

16412

-8.7%

-21.5%

79

Mid-Size Luxury CUV/SUV

LMU

28336

23855

-2.9%

23165

-8.0%

-18.2%

39

Prestige Luxury Car

PLC

48732

37773

-2.9%

36680

-8.5%

-24.7%

48

Premium Sporty Car

PSC

50126

41860

-2.9%

40652

-6.9%

-18.9%

48

Full-Size Crossover/SUV

FSU

30190

26368

-2.8%

25637

-7.6%

-15.1%

78

Luxury Car

LLC

26375

20916

-2.8%

20337

-7.7%

-22.9%

104

Compact Crossover/SUV

CSU

15308

13226

-2.7%

12872

-7.3%

-15.9%

81

Mid-Size Car

MSC

11412

9613

-2.6%

9361

-7.7%

-18.0%

97

Mid-Size Crossover/SUV

MSU

18970

16309

-2.5%

15893

-8.5%

-16.2%

127

Compact Car

CPC

10186

8295

-2.3%

8102

-8.3%

-20.5%

9

Sub-Compact Crossover

SXU

13294

10926

-2.3%

10672

-8.5%

-19.7%

78

Full-Size Van

FSV

21547

18429

-2.3%

18011

-7.3%

-16.4%

51

Full-Size Luxury CUV/SUV

LFU

42761

35790

-2.1%

35038

-6.0%

-18.1%

43

Compact Luxury CUV/SUV

LCU

26868

22309

-2.0%

21853

-6.5%

-18.7%

40

Full-Size Car

FSC

15018

12936

-1.9%

12685

-7.9%

-15.5%

84

Full-Size Pickup

FPT

25909

22829

-1.4%

22506

-5.0%

-13.1%

23

Small Pickup

SPT

20698

19111

-0.9%

18940

-3.3%

-8.5%

9

Sub-Compact Luxury CUV

LXU

24345

19181

-0.3%

19133

-6.8%

-21.4%

 

About Black Book

Black Book® is best known in the automotive industry for providing timely, independent and accurate vehicle pricing information, and is available to industry-qualified users through online subscription products, mobile applications and licensing agreements. A leading provider since 1955, Black Book has continuously evolved to ensure that it achieves its goal of delivering mission-critical information to its customers, along with the insight necessary to successfully buy, sell, and lend. Black Book data is published daily by National Auto Research, a division of Hearst Business media, and the company maintains offices in Georgia, Florida, and Maryland. For more information, please visit BlackBook.com or call 800.554.1026.

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